Research Areas
I am primarily interested in time series analysis and causal inference. I'm keen to study and develop models that predict high-dimensional, high-frequency, and mixed-frequency data through econometric and machine learning techniques. For causal inference, I'm interested in applying quasi-experimental methods to isolate the effect of policy interventions on socioeconomic outcomes. All of this is to say that I advocate for evidence-based decision making, particularly in public policy and financial decision making.
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Outside my main research agenda, I am interested in the digital transformation of organizations and societies. I'd like to study how the integration of people, process, data, and technology has produced new business models and upended our way-of-life as producers, consumers, and citizens.
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Publications
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Adrian Glova, Roy Hernandez. Forecasting Currency in Circulation with the Central Bank Balance Sheet. Philippine Review of Economics, 2025.
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Laarni Escresa, Adrian Glova. Politico-economic Determinants of the Performance of Electric Cooperatives in the Philippines. Utilities Policy, 2024.​
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Adrian Glova, Erniel Barrios. Modelling Mixed-Frequency Time Series with Structural Change. Computational Economics, 2024.​​​
Working Papers
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​Laarni Escresa, Adrian Glova. Drivers of Electric Cooperatives’ Performance in the Philippines: A Principal Component Analysis and K-Means Clustering Approach. Ateneo School of Government Working Paper Series, 2021.​​​
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